BIDEN ECONOMY: Bonds at 49-Year Low

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The Biden financial system is so unhealthy that the bond and inventory markets are presently having their worst years ever. 

The DOW

The DOW is down over 1,000 factors for the reason that day Biden stepped into workplace after stealing the 2020 Election.

On January 20, 2021, the DOW closed at 31,188.  On Friday the DOW closed at 29,590.  It is a 1,598 drop for the DOW since Biden stepped into workplace. 

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People are watching their 401k’s disappear because of the Biden financial system.

The DOW is presently down greater than 6,700 factors this yr alone (the DOW was at 36,338 on December 31, 2021).

The worst yr previous to this was 2008 when the DOW was down 4,488 factors.

If this lower stands until year-end, this lower would be the largest lower for the DOW for any yr in US historical past. 

The Bond Market

The bond markets are a minimum of as unhealthy because the inventory markets, if not worse.  The Markets Insider reported final week:

The unraveling of the bond market will proceed to batter shares over the approaching months, in response to a Friday word from Bank of America.

Bonds are experiencing their worst decline since 1949 as rates of interest soar amid a world central financial institution marketing campaign to combat inflation. The US Aggregate Bond ETF is down 15% year-to-date, whereas world bonds are down much more.

However these hovering rates of interest, and consequently falling bond costs, run the danger of forcing additional liquidations within the inventory market that may successfully unwind probably the most crowded trades held by buyers over time.

“Bond crash in latest weeks means highs in credit score spreads, lows in shares usually are not but in,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett stated.

Particularly, Hartnett stated the continued bond market crash can result in a credit score occasion that may successfully unwind the lengthy US greenback, lengthy US tech, and lengthy non-public fairness trades, which have been extensively held by buyers for years.

These crowded trades have helped catapult mega-cap tech corporations like AppleAmazonAlphabet and Microsoft into trillion-dollar behemoths that make up almost 20% of the S&P 500.

“True capitulation is when buyers promote what they love and personal,” Hartnett stated.

Other than investor capitulation, another signal {that a} backside within the inventory market has arrived is when rates of interest peak, however given the Fed’s hawkish commentary at Wednesday’s FOMC meeting, that will not occur anytime quickly.

Biden has managed to break down each bonds and shares and the worst is but to return. 





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